Toronto FC is in 14th place in the Eastern Conference with 19 points in 20 games while Real Salt Lake is in sixth place in the Western Conference with 27 points in 20 games.
The player to watch in this game is Lorenzo Insigne, who has three goals and two assists in 13 MLS games this season. AccuScore gives Lorenzo Insigne a 29.88 percent chance to score against Real Salt Lake. He has 54 SCA and 4 GCA in 13 MLS games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Toronto FC 2.07
• Real Salt Lake 3.40
• Draw 3.65
Spread
• Toronto FC -0.5 (1.92)
• Real Salt Lake +0.5 (1.92)
Total
• Over 2.5 (2.02)
• Under 2.5 (1.80)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in MLS action on April 9 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Toronto FC, Lorenzo Insigne has a 29.88 percent chance to score. He averages 1.97 shots overall per sim, 1.05 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
For Real Salt Lake, Pablo Ruíz has a 16.5 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.94 shots overall per sim, 0.34 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2.5 (1.80)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Toronto FC 1.34 to Real Salt Lake 0.9.
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