Cremonese hosts Atalanta in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Saturday. Cremonese is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Monza on March 18 while Atalanta beat Empoli 2-1 at home on March 17.
Cremonese is in last place in the Serie A standings with 13 points in 27 games while Atalanta is in sixth place with 45 points in 27 games.
The player to watch in this game is Duván Zapata, who has one goals and one assist in 17 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Duván Zapata a 38.26 percent chance to score against Cremonese. He has 28 SCA and 4 GCA in 17 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cremonese 5.00
• Atalanta 3.85
• Draw 1.70
Spread
• Cremonese +0.5, +1 (2.01)
• Atalanta -0.5, -1 (1.89)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.84)
• Under 2.5 (2.04)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on September 11 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Cremonese, Cyriel Dessers has a 54.68 percent chance to score. He averages 3.08 shots overall per sim, 1.56 shots on goal per and 0.8 goals per sim.
For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 38.26 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.52 shots overall per sim, 1.34 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Atalanta 3.85
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atalanta in this one. Average score in simulations is Atalanta 1.73 to Cremonese 1.26.
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