Arsenal vs. Leeds United: EPL Game Preview

Arsenal clashes with Leeds United in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 4-1 home win against Leeds United on March 20, while Leeds United beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2 on the road on March 18.

Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 69 points in 28 games while Leeds United is in 14th place with 26 points in 27 games.

The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Martinelli, who has 13 goals and two assists in 28 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Gabriel Martinelli a 32.8 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 99 SCA and 12 GCA in 28 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal 1.30
• Leeds United 9.40
• Draw 5.60

Spread
• Arsenal -1.5 (1.84)
• Leeds United +1.5 (1.97)

Total
• Over 3 (1.90)
• Under 3 (1.91)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 16 and Arsenal won 1-0.

Projected Leaders

For Arsenal, Gabriel Martinelli has a 50.6 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.09 shots overall per sim, 1.13 shots on goal per and 0.71 goals per sim.

For Leeds United, Patrick Bamford has an 8.48 percent chance to score. He averages 0.68 shots overall per sim, 0.34 shots on goal per and 0.09 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal 1.63

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 3.02 to Leeds United 0.39.

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