Cagliari will face a very tough test to end the season when they host Genoa on Sunday. Cagliari is coming off a 0-0 road draw against AC Milan last Sunday while Genoa lost 4-3 at home against Atalanta on Saturday. Cagliari is in 16th place in the Serie A standings with 37 points in 37 games while Genoa is in 14th place with 39 points in 37 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cagliari: 2.17
• Genoa: 3.60
• Draw: 3.45
• Cagliari: 0, -0.5 (1.88)
• Genoa 0, +0.5 (2.05)
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.82)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.08)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Cagliari, coming off a 0-0 road draw against AC Milan last Sunday, have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 Serie A games. Genoa, coming off a 4-3 home loss against Atalanta on Saturday, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 Serie A games.
Momentum: Genoa has been on a downward trend — losing 3 of their last 4 games in the Serie A.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on January 24, 2021 and Genoa won 1-0.
For Cagliari, João Pedro has a 51.6 percent chance to score. He averages 2.14 shots overall per sim, 1.21 shots on goal per and 0.73 goals per sim.
For Genoa, Mattia Destro has a 32.64 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.01 shots overall per sim, 0.7 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is Cagliari 1.81 to Genoa 0.75.