AC Milan hosts Fiorentina in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Sunday. AC Milan is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Lecce on November 11 while Fiorentina beat Bologna 2-1 at home on November 12.
AC Milan is in third place in the Serie A standings with 23 points in 12 games while Fiorentina is in sixth place with 20 points in 12 games.
The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has seven goals and three assists in 11 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 47.02 percent chance to score against Fiorentina. He has 16 SCA and 3 GCA in 11 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan 1.98
• Fiorentina 3.85
• Draw 3.50
Spread
• AC Milan: -0.5 (1.92)
• Fiorentina: +0.5 (1.83)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.95)
• Under 2.5 (1.80)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on March 4 and Fiorentina won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 47.02 percent chance to score. He averages 1.97 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.
For Fiorentina, Nicolás González has a 22.78 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.2 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan 1.98
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.03 to Fiorentina 1.
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