Tottenham host Newcastle United this weekend at Wembley Stadium. At the time of publication, Tottenham is coming off a 0-2 loss on the road vs Crystal Palace, but do have a mid-week matchup with Watford on the books.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Tottenham Hotspur: 1.42
• Draw: 4.83
• Newcastle United: 8.55
Spread
• Tottenham -1, -1.5: 1.93
• Newcastle United +1, +1.5: 1.97
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 2.08
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.82
Draw: There’s a 20.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 23.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.7 – 0.54, in favor of Tottenham.
Last 6: Not counting their mid-week result, Tottenham has 3 wins and 3 losses in their last six overall. Newcastle has 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw heading into their mid-week fixture vs Man City.
Clean Sheets: Tottenham has 9 clean sheets on the season, No. 4 in the league; Newcastle is just two games behind with 7 clean sheets on the 2018-2019 season.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in August of 2018 when Tottenham won 2-1. Tottenham last lost to Newcastle in May of 2016.
Salomón Rondón has a 13 percent chance to score for Newcastle. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.41 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
Erik Lamela has a 39 percent chance to net the ball for Tottenham. Lamela averages 1.67 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.
Under 2.5, 3.
The under is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. The average combined score is 2.24 goals. The under hits in over 61 percent of AccuScore sims.
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