Wolverhampton get set to host Newcastle on Monday at Molineux Stadium in a matchup AccuScore projects to be a lot more competitive than offshore odds indicate.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Wolverhampton: 1.80
• Draw: 3.61
• Newcastle United: 5.09
• Wolverhampton -0.5, -1: 2.00
• Newcastle United +0.5, +1: 1.93
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.98
• Under 2, 2.5: 1.92
Draw: There’s a 27.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 30.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.26 – 0.96, in favor of Wolverhampton.
Last 6: Wolves have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last six overall. Newcastle have 3 wins and 3 losses.
Referee: Graham Scott was named referee for Monday’s matchup. He has worked 10 Premier League games this season, but has yet to official a match for Newcastle or Wolverhampton.
Head to Head: Wolverhampton defeated Newcastle in their latest meeting, 2-1, back in Dec. 2018. Newcastle won the two previous matchups back in 2016 and 2017.
Salomón Rondón has a 24-to-25 percent chance to score for Newcastle. He averages 1.9 shots overall per sim, 0.70 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
Jota has a 26-to-27 percent chance to score Monday for Wolverhampton. Jota averages 1.98 shots overall per sim, 0.87 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.
Newcastle United +0.5, +1
There’s a 52 percent chance Newcastle either finish in a draw, win. That happens in 57.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some side value on the ‘underdog.’ The side value is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.