Premier League action is back under way with the international break over. After a 3-0 win over Manchester United at Old Trafford, Tottenham fell 2-1 to Watford and will look to get back on track vs Liverpool.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Tottenham: 2.84
• Draw: 3.69
• Liverpool: 2.45
Spread
• Tottenham +0.5: 1.81
• Liverpool -0.5: 2.13
Total
• OVER 2.5, 3: 1.81
• UNDER 2.5, 3: 2.09
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.69 — indicate there’s a 27 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 24 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.95 – 1.31, in favor of Liverpool.
Too Much to Handle: Liverpool’s attack of Sadio Mané, Mohamed Salah and Roberto Firmino has been unstoppable so far, scoring seven goals among them already.
Match Official: Michael Oliver is the match official for this fixture, a good sign for Tottenham. In the 33 games he has refereed for Liverpool, they have won just 14; of the 29 Tottenham games he has refereed, they have won 18 — including 8 in a row.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in the Premier League in February 2018 when they finished in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
Mohamed Salah has over a 55 percent chance to score for Liverpool. He averages close to 4 shots overall, 1.38 shots on goal per sim, and 0.80 goals per.
Harry Kane has the best probability to score for Tottenham at a 46 percent chance. Kane averages closer to 5 shots overall, 2.04 shots on goal per sim, and 0.62 goals per.
Analyst’s Pick
Liverpool to win.
Odds — at 2.45 — indicate there’s a 35 percent chance Liverpool wins this match. They win close to 51 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
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