Liverpool looks to keep their rise when they host Watford in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Liverpool is coming off a 2-0 road win against Arsenal on March 16 while Watford beat Southampton 2-1 on the road on March 13. Liverpool is in second place in the Premier League standings with 69 points in 29 games while Watford is in 18th place with 22 points in 29 games.

The player to watch in this game is Diogo Jota, who has 13 goals and one assist in 26 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jota a 52.84 percent chance to score against Watford. He has 64 SCA and 9 GCA in 26 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 1.13
• Watford: 19.00
• Draw: 9.00

Spread
• Liverpool: -2,5 (2.02)
• Watford: +2.5 (1.91)

Total
• Over 3.5 (1.85)
• Under 3.5 (2.05)

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Liverpool, coming off a 2-0 road win against Arsenal on March 16, have 5 wins, 0 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.

Watford, coming off a 2-1 road win against Southampton on March 13, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Liverpool has been on an upward trend — with nine straight wins in the Premier League.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 16, 2021 and Liverpool won 5-0.

Projected Leaders

For Liverpool, Diogo Jota has a 52.84 percent chance to score. He averages 2.27 shots overall per sim, 1.19 shots on goal per and 0.75 goals per sim.

For Watford, Emmanuel Dennis has a 10.48 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.56 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per and 0.11 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Under.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 2.6 to Watford 0.34.

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