Premier League Game Preview: Crystal Palace vs Fulham

Premier League Game Preview: Crystal Palace vs FulhamWe’ve got a fun matchup at Craven Cottage this weekend as Fulham — back in the Premier League — host Crystal Palace in an all-London fixture. After spending £100-plus million this offseason, Fulham will be looking to kick off their season on the right foot.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Fulham FC: 2.48
• Draw: 3.42
• Crystal Palace: 2.99

Spread
• Fulham -0.5: 2.49
• Crystal Palace +0.5: 1.60

Total
• OVER 2.5: 1.98
• UNDER 2.5: 1.92

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.42 — indicate there’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 26 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.81 – 1.28, in favor of Fulham.

Betting on the Total: Each of the last three matchups between Fulham and Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage has seen four goals scored. Fulham won 3-1 in October 2000 and January 2005, and the two sides finished in a 2-2 draw in May 2014.

The odds — at 1.98 — indicate there’s a 50.5 percent chance the total combined score goes past 2.5 goals. The average combined score after 10,000 simulations is 3.09 goals. The total goes OVER in close to 60 percent of simulations.

Opening at Home: Fulham have not lost a match in their last 12 games in which they started league play at home (8 wins, 4 draws).

Recent Trends: Looking back to last season, Crystal Palace won their last three Premier League games of 2017-18. They were on quite the run at the end there, scoring nine goals and giving up just one.

Head-to-Head: Crystal Palace have not defeated Fulham since 2004, and have not won a game on the road vs Fulham since 1986.

Projected Leaders

Wilfried Zaha has the best chance to score for Crystal Palace, according to AccuScore sim data. He averages 1.79 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per, and 0.31 goals per sim, with close to a 28 percent chance to net the ball.

For Fulham, we’ll have our eyes on Aleksandar Mitrovic who has over a 50 percent chance to score. He averages close to 4.49 shots overall per sim, 1.82 shots on goal per and 0.71 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Fulham to win at home.

Odds — at 2.48 — indicate there’s a 40 percent chance Fulham wins this match. They win over 48 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added value on the pick.

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