Burnley hosts Leeds United in what should be an intriguing game on Saturday. Burnley is coming off a 2-0 road win against Fulham last Monday while Leeds United beat Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 at home on Saturday. Burnley is in 14th place in the Premier League standings with 39 points in 35 games while Leeds United is in ninth place with 50 points in 35 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley: 2.95
• Leeds United: 2.47
• Draw: 3.50
Spread
• Burnley: 0: 2.12
• Leeds United: 0: 1.82
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.90
• Under 2.5: 2.00
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Leeds United, coming off a 3-1 home win against Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 6 Premier League games. Burnley, coming off a 2-0 road win against Fulham last Monday, have 4 losses, 2 wins and 0 draws in their last 6 Premier League games.
Momentum: Leeds United has been on a downward trend — with one win in their last 3 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 27, 2020 and Leeds United won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Leeds United, Patrick Bamford has a 36.16 percent chance to score. He averages 2.89 shots overall per sim, 1.28 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.
For Burnley, Chris Wood has a 49.78 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.39 shots overall per sim, 1.58 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Burnley 1.5 to Leeds United 1.36.
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