Brighton & Hove Albion hosts Aston Villa in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Brighton & Hove Albion is coming off a 3-0 home loss against Burnley on February 19 while Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 home loss against Watford on February 19. Brighton & Hove Albion is in ninth place in the Premier League standings with 33 points in 25 games while Aston Villa is in 12th place with 27 points in 24 games.

The player to watch in this game is Neal Maupay, who has eight goals and two assists in 23 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Maupay a 34.47 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 47 SCA and 3 GCA in 23 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 2.34
• Aston Villa: 3.15
• Draw: 3.25

Spread
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 0, -0.5: 2.08
• Aston Villa: 0, +0.5: 1.85

Total
• Over 2.5: 2.05
• Under 2.5: 1.85

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Brighton & Hove Albion, coming off a 3-0 home loss against Burnley on February 19, have 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games.

L L W D D

Aston Villa, coming off a 1-0 home loss against Watford on February 19, have 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Aston Villa has been on a downward trend — with 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on November 20, 2021 and Aston Villa won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

For Brighton & Hove Albion, Neal Maupay has a 34.47 percent chance to score. He averages 1.61 shots overall per sim, 0.76 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 17.15 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.09 shots overall per sim, 0.65 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Brighton & Hove Albion Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Brighton & Hove Albion in this one. Average score in simulations is Brighton & Hove Albion 1.41 to Aston Villa 0.68.

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