Everton faces a tough test when they host Manchester City in an intriguing Premier League game on Saturday. Everton is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Southampton on February 19 while Manchester lost 3-2 at home against Tottenham Hotspur on February 19. Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 63 points in 26 games while Everton is in 16th place with 22 points in 23 games.

The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has 10 goals and one assist in 22 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 36.43 percent chance to score against Everton. He has 61 SCA and 5 GCA in 22 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Everton: 10.00
• Manchester City: 1.28
• Draw: 5.80

Spread
• Everton: +1.5, +2: 1.90
• Manchester City: -1.5, -2: 2.03

Total
• Over 3: 1.95
• Under 3: 1.95

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Everton, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Southampton on February 19, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games. Manchester City, coming off a 3-2 home loss against Tottenham Hotspur on February 19, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Everton has been on a downward trend — with 4 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on November 21, 2021 and Manchester City won 3-0.

Projected Leaders

For Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has a 25.67 percent chance to score. He averages 1.49 shots overall per sim, 0.91 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 36.43 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.5 shots overall per sim, 0.9 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Over.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.27 to Everton 0.72.

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