Following last week’s road 1-1 draw vs Manchester United, Arsenal returns home to host AFC Bournemouth at Emirates Stadium this Sunday afternoon.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal FC: 1.48
• Draw: 5.19
• AFC Bournemouth: 6.17

Spread
• Arsenal FC -1.5: 2.19
• AFC Bournemouth +1.5: 1.77

Total
• Over 3.5: 1.94
• Under 3.5: 1.96

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 19 percent chance of a draw. That happens in 20-to-21 percent of simulations, suggesting some — but not much — added side value.

The projected score is 2..48 – 1.27, in favor of Arsenal.

Last 6: Arsenal have 3 draws and 3 wins in their last six overall. Bournemouth have 2 draws, 2 wins and 2 losses in their last six overall.

Yellow Cards: Arsenal league the league with 19 yellow cards.

Team Play: Arsenal are No. 4 in the league in corners taken (45). Leicester City is No. 1 (51).

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier league action on Feb 27, 2019 when Arsenal won, 5-1. They have only matched up 7 times in club histories.

Projected Leaders

Callum Wilson has a 37 percent chance to net the ball for AFC Bournemouth this weekend. Wilson averages 1.62 shots overall per sim, 0.87 shots on goal per and 0.46 goals per sim.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has a 63 percent chance to score for Arsenal. He averages 2.83 shots overall per sim, 1.38 shots on goal per and 1.01 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The OVER.

Three-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average combined score in sims is 3.75 goals.

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