Manchester United continues to search for a win as they get set for an away match this Sunday vs Newcastle United at St. James’ Park. United is coming off back-to-back draws their last two times out.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United: 4.52
• Draw: 3.57
• Manchester United: 1.89

Spread
• Newcastle United +0.5: 2.05
• Manchester United -0.5: 1.88

Total
• Over 2: 1.60
• Under 2: 2.42

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 28 percent chance this match ends in a draw. That happens in 30+ percent of simulations, suggesting some added side value on the pick.

The projected score is 1.39 – 0.9, in favor of Manchester United.

Last 6: Newcastle has 2 draws, 3 losses and 1 win in their last six overall. Manchester United has 3 draws, 1 loss and 2 wins in their last six overall.

Low Scoring: Newcastle United are No. 19 out of 20 in the league in goals scored with just four this season. All four of Newcastle’s goals have come from inside the box.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Jan. 2, 2019 when Manchester United won, 2-0.

Projected Leaders

Marcus Rashford has a 29 percent chance to score for Manchester United. Rashford averages 2.21 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.

Joelinton has a 21 percent chance to score for Newcastle. He averages 1.99 shots overall per sim, 0.73 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Newcastle +0.5

The side value on this matchup — according to simulations — is on Newcastle and the draw. Man U is still projected to win, but the value is on this being more competitive than picks are indicating. Average margin of victory for Man U is +0.40 goals.

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