Levante and Atletico Madrid go head-to-head in La Liga action this weekend at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Levante: 3.70
• Draw: 3.79
• Atletico Madrid: 2.02

Spread
• Levante +0.5: 1.96
• Atletico Madrid -0.5: 1.97

Total
• Over 3: 2.21
• Under 3: 1.72

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 26 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 26.7 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw, but hardly any.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.57 – 0.74, in favor of Atletico Madrid.

Total: There’s a 58 percent chance the total combined score stays under 3 goals. That happens in 60 percent of AccuScore sims, a 3-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

The average combined score in simulations is 2.31 goals.

Building Momentum: Levante are playing with plenty of momentum following back-to-back wins over Rayo Vallecano and Girona. Madrid, on the other hand, have little to play for after already securing the No. 2 spot in La Liga standings.

Head to Head: These two sides last met on Jan. 13, 2019 when Atletico won, 1-0.

Projected Leaders

Antoine Griezmann has a 43 percent chance to score in this match. He averages 3.42 shots overall per sim, 1.47 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.

José Luis Morales Nogales has a 19-to-20 percent chance to score this weekend for Levante. He averages 1.77 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Atletico Madrid to win.

There’s a 49 percent chance Atletico win this match. They win close to 57 percent of simulations, suggesting some added value on the pick. Atletico winning is a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.