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We’ll have our eyes on Carrow Road this Saturday as Norwich City and Manchester City go head-to-head. Norwich will look to bounce back from a recent streak of losses and hope for at least a draw in this fixture. Nothing comes easy, though, against a roster like Manchester City.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 15.59
• Draw: 8.93
• Manchester City: 1.17
• Norwich City +2.5: 1.82
• Manchester City -2.5: 2.13
• Over 4: 2.06
• Under 4: 1.84
Draw: Picks indicate there’s an 11 percent chance this matchup ends in a draw. That happens in 12 percent of sims, suggesting not much added value on the pick.
The average score in sims is 3.46 – 1.01, in favor of Man City.
International Duty: Man City got back into the swing of things earlier this week with several players away on international duty. They’re coming off a 4-0 Premier League win over Brighton and will look to continue the streak of shutting out the opponents.
Both Sides: Norwich seem to be attacking in all the right ways – just need to connect more often and tighten up their back line. They are tied for No. 1 in the league in hitting the woodwork, and No. 3 in the league in goals from inside the box. Defensively, the effort is clearly there. Norwich is No. 2 in the league in clearances, and No. 2 in the league in saves. They just seem to be getting attacked more often than not.
Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action back in March of 2016 when they finished in a scoreless draw. Norwich last defeated Manchester City back in 2013.
Sergio Aguero has a 70+ percent chance to net the ball for Man City this weekend, averaging 4+ shots overall per sim, 1.55 shots on goal per and 1.22 goals per sim.
For Norwich, we’ll have our eyes on none other than Teemu Pukki. He averages 2+ shots overall per sim, 1.03 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim. He has close to a 40 percent chance to score.
Safe pick: Man City to win; Bold pick: Man City -2.5
No surprise here, Man City is a heavy favorite and is projected to win by 2+ goals. Not much value in the money line though because you’re having to pay so much to get so little. Man City winning outright is a four-star (out of four) hot-trend pick. They win, on average, each simulated match by a margin of +2.45 goals.
Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.