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AccuScore is showing some side value in this weekend’s fixture at Craven Cottage between Fulham and Everton.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Fulham: 4.60
• Draw: 4.02
• Everton: 1.78
Spread
• Fulham FC +0.5: 2.19
• Everton FC -0.5: 1.77
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.73
• Under 2.5: 2.20
Draw: There’s a 24.9 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 26.4 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.61 – 1.32, in favor of Everton.
Last 6: Fulham have 6 losses in their last six overall, most recently a 4-1 road loss vs Watford. Everton has 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Offsides: Fulham is No. 2 in the league this year in offsides. More often than not, this isn’t a stat to boast about — but it does indicate the team is constantly looking for opportunities to score.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in September 2018 when Everton won, 3-0. Fulham last defeated Everton in league play back in Sep. 2009.
Gylfi Sigurðsson has a 37 percent chance to net the ball for Everton. He averages 2.58 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
Aleksandar Mitrovic has a 45 percent chance to score for Fulham. He averages 1.2 shots overall per sim, 0.52 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
Fulham FC +0.5
AccuScore sim data projects this matchup to be more competitive than do offshore picks makers. There’s a 45.6 percent chance Fulham either finish in a draw, or win. That happens in 57-to-58 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some side value on the ‘underdog.’
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