Watford — currently sitting at the No. 8 spot in the EPL standings — get set for a matchup on the road this Friday vs No. 17 Cardiff City.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cardiff City: 3.16
• Draw: 3.39
• Watford FC: 2.39

Spread
• Cardiff City +0.5: 1.86
• Watford -0.5: 2.07

Total
• Over 2.5: 2.05
• Under 2.5: 1.85

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 31 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 30 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.29 – 1.1, in favor of Cardiff.

Last 6: Cardiff have 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. Watford has 3 draws, 2 wins and 1 loss.

Clean Sheet Potential: Watford’s Ben Foster is No. 5 in the EPL this season with 7 clean sheets.

Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in December 2018 when Watford won 3-2.

Projected Leaders

Troy Deeney has a 22-to-23 percent chance to score for Watford. He averages 1.61 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.

Oumar Niasse has a 29 percent chance to net the ball for Cardiff in this matchup. NIasse averages 1.39 shots overall per sim, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.34 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Under 2.5

The UNDER is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. There’s a 54 percent chance the total combined score stays below 2.5 goals. That happens in over 58 percent of AccuScore sims. The average total score after 10,000-plus simulations is 2.39 goals.