Atalanta battles Paris Saint-Germain in a UEFA Champions League quarterfinals clash at Estádio da Luz in Lisboa, Portugal on Wednesday. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and one team has to advance, there’s no second leg.
Atalanta reached the quarterfinals after eliminating Valencia CF 8-4 on aggregate. Paris Saint-Germain advanced to this stage after taking care of Borussia Dortmund with a 3-2 aggregate.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atalanta: 3.86
• Paris Saint-Germain: 1.90
• Draw: 4.10
Spread
• Atalanta: +0.5 (2.03)
• Paris Saint-Germain: -0.5 (1.90)
Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (2.03)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.87)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Atalanta, coming off a 2-0 home loss vs Inter Milan in the Serie, have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 overall. Paris Saint-Germain, coming off a 0-0 home draw vs Lyon in the French Coupe de la Ligue, have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: Paris Saint-Germain has been on an upward trend — with 5 wins in their last 6 games overall.
Head-to-Head: This will be the first meeting between these two sides.
Projected Leaders
For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 28.06 percent chance to score. He averages 2.13 shots overall per sim, 0.83 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.
For Paris Saint-Germain, Neymar has a 40.98 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.73 shots overall per sim, 1.42 shots on goal per and 0.98 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Paris Saint-Germain Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 2.06 to Atalanta 1.30.
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