Mainz looks to get back on track when they host Wolfsburg in what should be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. Mainz is coming off a 2-1 road loss against VfB Stuttgart last Friday while Wolfsburg lost 3-1 at home against Borussia Dortmund last Saturday. Mainz is in eighth place in the Bundesliga standings with 18 points in 13 games while Wolfsburg is in sixth place with 20 points in 13 games.
The player to watch in this game is Wolfsburg striker Lukas Nmecha, who has five goals in 12 Bundesliga games this season and a 27.7 percent chance to score a goal in this game according to AccuScore. Containing Nmecha and Wout Weghorst is a must for Mainz. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Mainz: 2.60
• Wolfsburg: 2.85
• Draw: 3.20
Spread
• Mainz: 0: 1.88
• Wolfsburg: 0: 2.02
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 2.13
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.76
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Mainz, coming off a 2-1 road loss against VfB Stuttgart last Friday, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Bundesliga games.
Wolfsburg, coming off a 3-1 home loss against Borussia Dortmund last Saturday, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Bundesliga games.
Momentum: Mainz has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 3 Bundesliga games.
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in Bundesliga action on May 22 and Mainz won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For Mainz, Jonathan Burkardt has a 42.8 percent chance to score. He averages 1.75 shots overall per sim, 1.16 shots on goal per and 0.56 goals per sim.
For Wolfsburg, Wout Weghorst has a 32.28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.64 shots overall per sim, 1 shot on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Mainz 0 (1.88).
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Mainz in this one. Average score in simulations is Mainz 1.72 to Wolfsburg 1.17.
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