Manchester City need just three points to win the Premier League title. They’ll look to win the title this weekend against Manchester United, potentially securing the title in record time. Manchester United previously held the record of earliest title win (2000-2001). It’ll be interesting to see how City perform after a 3-0 loss to Liverpool earlier in the week (which we warned you about).
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Dafabet Odds
1×2
• Man City to win: 1.97
• Draw: 3.70
• Man U to win: 3.95
Total
• OVER 2.5: 1.87
• UNDER 2.5: 2.03
What to Watch For
Potential on the Draw: Odds — at 3.70 — indicate there’s about a 27 percent chance of a draw. Accuscore sims, however, have a draw in about 25 percent of matches, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score in sims is 1.8 – 1.21, in favor of Man City.
Head-to-Head: City won the previous meeting between the two sides, having gone winless in their previous three against United. In the last five matches between the two sides, each team has two wins.
Dominant at Home: Man City have 14 wins and a 1-1 draw against Everton this season at home. City have scored 12 goals in their last four home matches.
Projected Starting Lineups
• Manchester City: Ederson; Otamendi, Kompany, Danilo; Walker, De Bruyne, Fernandinho, Gundogan, Zinchenko; Bernardo, Jesus
• Manchester United: De Gea; Valencia, Smalling, Bailly, Young; Pogba, Matic; Alex, Lingard, Rashford; Lukaku
Projected Leaders
Sergio Aguero has been out in the last few weeks, but some reports suggest he’ll be playing this weekend. He averages close to four shots overall per sim, almost two on goal, and 0.66 goals per sim; he has close to a 48 percent chance of scoring if he plays.
For Man U, it’s Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez leading the way in sims. Sanchez averages more shots on goal, but Lukaku has an overall higher probability of netting the ball.
Analyst’s Pick
Man City.
The pick is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. The odds — at 1.97 — indicate Man City has about a 50-to-51 percent chance of winning. They pretty much win exactly that exact amount of games in AccuScore sims.
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