Watford continues to look up from the bottom of the standings as they get to match up with Crystal Palace this weekend at Vicarage Road.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Spread
Watford -0.5: 2.35
Crystal Palace +0.5: 1.67

Total
Over 2.5: 2.11
Under 2.5: 1.80

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Watford, coming off back-to-back road losses vs Leicester City and Southampton, have 5 losses and 1 win overall in their last six. The win came on the road, 2-0 over Norwich City. Palace, coming off back-to-back wins over Bournemouth and Burnley, have 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.

Some Changes:

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Jan. 12, 2019 when Watford won, 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Jordan Ayew has a 26-to-27 percent chance to score for Crystal Palace. He averages 1.69 shots overall per sim, 0.52 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.

Gerard Lazaro has a 21-to-22 percent chance to score for Watford. He averages 2.21 shots overall per sim, 0.95 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Palace +0.5

All the side value in simulations is on Palace. Average score in sims is 1.34 – 0.98, in favor of Palace. We’ll definitely take a half-point there.

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