World Cup mainstays Uruguay and South Korea duke it out in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group H action on Thursday.
Uruguay is undoubtedly an aging team but they do have some key younger pieces. Real Madrid’s Fede Valverde has been one of the best players in the world in recent months. He can be a defensive midfielder or a winger. Liverpool striker Darwin Núñez is a dangerous threat, center back Ronald Araujo has played well for FC Barcelona when he had the chance and Rodrigo Bentancur has been a key player for Tottenham Hotspur.
His Tottenham Hotspur teammate Son Heung-Min his South Korea’s star. Last year’s co-golden boot winner in the Premier League, is South Korea’s active leading scorer and he was the joint-leading scorer in AFC qualifiers with four goals.
Son Heung-Min is the focal point of South Korea but this team has other capable, including Wolverhampton Wanderers forward Hwang Hee-Chan, Napoli defender Min-Jae Kim, who has been a wall for them this season and experienced Mainz midfielder Lee Jae-Sung.
The player to watch in this game is Son Heung-Min, who has three goals and two assists in 13 Premier League games with Tottenham Hotspur this season. AccuScore gives Son Heung-Min a 52.6 percent chance to score against Uruguay. He has 52 SCA and 6 GCA in 13 Premier League games with Tottenham Hotspur this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Uruguay 1.77
• South Korea 5.26
• Draw 3.61
• Uruguay -0.5, -1 (2.06)
• South Korea +0.5, +1 (1.87)
• Over 2 (1.80)
• Under 2 (2.11)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in World Cup action on June 26, 2010 and Uruguay won 2-1.
For Uruguay, Luis Suárez has a 48.5 percent chance to score. He averages 2.57 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.68 goals per sim.
For South Korea, Son Heung-Min has a 52.6 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.5 shots overall per sim, 1.19 shots on goal per and 0.8 goals per sim.
Uruguay is 7-1-1 this year, with seven shutouts in those games while South Korea is coming off 1-0 wins in friendlies against Cameroon and Iceland. Both defenses have been good but this a very low total for two very talented offenses.
Over 2 (1.80)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Uruguay 1.77 to South Korea 1.5.
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