Troyes clashes with Paris Saint-Germain in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Sunday. Troyes is coming off a 1-0 home loss against Nice on Sunday while Paris Saint-Germain lost 3-1 against Lorient at home on Sunday.

Paris Saint-Germain leads the Ligue 1 standings with 75 points in 33 games while Troyes is in 18th place with 22 points in 33 games.

The player to watch in this game is Kylian Mbappé, who has 23 goals and four assists in 29 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Mbappé a 69.6 percent chance to score against Troyes. He has 115 SCA and 18 GCA in 29 Ligue 1 games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Troyes 10.00
• Paris Saint-Germain 1.26
• Draw 6.40

Spread
• Troyes +1.5, +2 (1.95)
• Paris Saint-Germain -1.5, -2 (1.87)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.84)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.98)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on October 29 and Paris Saint-Germain won 4-3.

Projected Leaders

For Troyes, Mama Baldé has a 35.28 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.55 shots overall per sim, 1.15 shots on goal per and 0.43 goals per sim.

For Paris Saint-Germain, Kylian Mbappé has a 69.6 percent chance to score. He averages 4.02 shots overall per sim, 2.62 shots on goal per and 1.21 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Paris Saint-Germain 1.26

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 3.26 to Troyes 0.84

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