Lazio hosts Genoa in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Sunday.
Lazio is coming off a 3-0 home win against AC Milan last Monday while Genoa beat Spezia 2-0 at home last Saturday. Lazio is in sixth place in the Serie A standings with 61 points in 32 games while Genoa is in 14th place with 33 points in 32 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Lazio: 1.41
• Genoa: 7.20
• Draw: 4.90
Spread
• Lazio: -1, -1.5 (1.98)
• Genoa: +1, +1.5 (1.95)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.93)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.97)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Lazio, coming off a 3-0 home win against AC Milan last Sunday, have 5 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 6 Serie A games. Genoa, coming off a 2-0 home win against Spezia on Saturday, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws in their last 6 Serie A games.
Momentum: Lazio has been on an upward trend — with 5 wins in their last 6 games overall.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on January 3, 2021 and the game ended on a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Lazio, Ciro Immobile has a 66.26 percent chance to score. He averages 4.25 shots overall per sim, 2.26 shots on goal per and 1.08 goals per sim.
For Genoa, Mattia Destro has a 21.66 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.59 shots overall per sim, 0.42 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Lazio Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Lazio in this one. Average score in simulations is Lazio 2.51 to Genoa 0.74.
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