Empoli hosts AC Milan in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game next Saturday. Empoli is coming off a 1-0 road win against Bologna on September 17 while AC Milan lost 2-1 on the road against Napoli on September 18.

AC Milan is in fifth place in the Serie A with 14 points in seven games while Empoli is in 14th place with seven points in seven games.

The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has four goals and one assist in seven Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 37.86 percent chance to score against Empoli. He has 12 SCA and 2 GCA in seven Serie A games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Empoli: 5.60
• AC Milan: 1.59
• Draw: 4.00

Spread
• Empoli +1 (1.83)
• AC Milan -1 (1.98)

Total
• Over 2.5 (1.83)
• Under 2.5 (1.98)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on March 12 and AC Milan won 1-0.

Projected Leaders

For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 37.86 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.78 shots overall per sim, 0.8 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

For Empoli, Sam Lammers has a 14.16 percent chance to score. He averages 1.54 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Under.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 1.19 to Empoli 0.56.

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