Two reeling teams clash when Bologna hosts Sampdoria on Monday. Bologna has just 1 win their last 5 Serie A games while Sampdoria is winless in that span. Bologna is coming off a 0-0 road draw against AC Milan on April 4 while Sampdoria lost 1-0 at home against AS Roma on April 3. Bologna is in 12th place in the Serie A standings with 34 points in 30 games while Sampdoria is in 16th place with 29 points in 31 games.
The player to watch in this game is Marko Arnautović, who has nine goals and one assist in 27 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Arnautović a 49.04 percent chance to score against Sampdoria. He has 69 SCA and 5 GCA in 27 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Bologna: 2.18
• Sampdoria: 3.35
• Draw: 3.40
Spread
• Bologna: 0, 0.5: 1.90
• Sampdoria: 0, 0.5: 2.03
Total
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.85
• Under 2, 2.5: 2.05
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Bologna, coming off a 0-0 road draw against AC Milan on April 4, have 3 draws, 2 losses and 0 wins in their last 5 Serie A games.
Sampdoria, coming off a 1-0 home loss against AS Roma on April 3, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: Bologna has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 5 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on November 7, 2021 and Bologna won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Bolgona, Marco Arnautović has a 49.04 percent chance to score. He averages 2.88 shots overall per sim, 1.31 shots on goal per and 0.67 goals per sim.
For Sampdoria, Francesco Caputo has a 29.92 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.27 shots overall per sim, 0.74 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Bologna Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Bologna in this one. Average score in simulations is Bologna 1.82 to Sampdoria 1.
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