Cagliari vs AC Milan: Serie A Game Preview

The struggling Cagliari will face a very tough test when they host Serie A leaders AC Milan on Monday. Cagliari is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Fiorentina last Sunday while AC Milan beat Torino 2-0 at home last Saturday. AC Milan is in first place in the Serie A with 40 points in 17 games while Cagliari is 16th in the standings with 14 points in 17 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cagliari: 5.60
• AC Milan: 1.54
• Draw: 4.50

Spread
• Cagliari: +1 (2.02)
• AC Milan: -1 (1.91)

Total
• Over 3 (1.90)
• Under 3 (2.00)

Key Points to Consider

Last 6:

Cagliari, coming off a 1-0 road loss against Fiorentina last Sunday, have 4 losses, 2 draws and 0 wins in their last 6 Serie A games. AC Milan, coming off a 2-0 home win against Torino last Saturday, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 Serie A games.

Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — winning 4 of their last 6 games in the Serie A.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on Aug. 1, 2020 and AC Milan won 3-0.

Projected Leaders

For Cagliari, João Pedro has a 43.08 percent chance to score. He averages 1.87 shots overall per sim, 0.92 shots on goal per and 0.56 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Rafael Leão has a 42.1 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.17 shots overall per sim, 0.94 shots on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

AC Milan Moneyline.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.36 to Cagliari 1.39.

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