AC Milan looks to keep their Serie A title hopes alive when they host Genoa on Sunday. AC Milan is coming off a 3-1 road win against Parma on Saturday while Genoa lost 3-1 on the road against Juventus last Sunday. AC Milan is in second place in the Serie A standings with 63 points in 30 games while Genoa is in 13th place with 32 points in 30 games. The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan: 1.52
• Genoa: 6.00
• Draw: 4.40
Spread
• AC Milan: -1 (1.92)
• Genoa: +1 (2.01)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.90)
• Under 2,5, 3 (2.00)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: AC Milan, coming off a 3-1 road win against Parma on Saturday, have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 Serie A games. Genoa, coming off a 3-1 road loss against Juventus last Sunday, have 3 draws, 2 losses and 1 win in their last 6 Serie A games.
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — winning 2 of their last 3 games in the Serie A.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on December 16, 2020 and the game ended on a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For AC Milan, Ante Rebic has a 37.38 percent chance to score. He averages 1.69 shots overall per sim, 0.81 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
For Genoa, Mattia Destro has a 16.9 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.43 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 3.32 to Genoa 0.46.
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