Spezia faces a tough test when they visit AC Milan on Monday. AC Milan is coming off a 3-0 road win against Venezia on Sunday while Spezia beat Genoa 1-0 on the road on Sunday. AC Milan leads the Serie A standings with 48 points in 21 games while Spezia is in th place with in games.
The player to watch in this game is Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who has seven goals and two assists in 12 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Ibrahimovic has a 70.32 percent chance to score against Spezia. He has 25 SCA and 4 GCA in 12 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan: 1.34
• Spezia: 8.60
• Draw: 5.40
• AC Milan: -1.5: 1.97
• Spezia: +1.5: 1.96
• Over 3: 1.94
• Under 3: 1.96
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: AC Milan, coming off a 3-0 road win against Venezia on Sunday, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games. Spezia, coming off a 1-0 road win against Genoa on Sunday, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 3 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on September 25, 2021 and AC Milan won 2-1.
For AC Milan, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a 70.32 percent chance to score. He averages 3.87 shots overall per sim, 2.03 shots on goal per and 1.2 goals per sim.
For Spezia, Emmanuel Gyasi has a 6.98 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.4 shots overall per sim, 0.21 shots on goal per and 0.07 goals per sim.
AC Milan Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.72 to Spezia 0.3.
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