The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has nine goals and three assists in 27 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 30.76 percent chance to score against Atalanta. He has 49 SCA and 6 GCA in 27 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan: 1.86
• Atalanta: 3.90
• Draw: 3.90
Spread
• AC Milan: -0.5: 1.85
• Atalanta: +0.5: 1.96
Total
• Over 3: 1.94
• Under 3: 1.88
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: AC Milan, coming off a 3-1 road win against Hellas Verona on May 8, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Serie A games.
Atalanta, coming off a 3-1 road win against Spezia on May 8, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: AC Milan has been on an upward trend — with 4 wins in their last 5 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on October 3, 2021 and AC Milan won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 30.76 percent chance to score. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 23.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 1.7 to Atalanta 0.81.
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