Share this story
We’ve got a pair of teams in Wolverhampton and Fulham riding winning streaks into this weekend’s matchup at Molineaux.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Wolverhampton: 1.56
• Draw: 4.37
• Fulham FC: 6.33
• Wolverhampton -1: 1.95
• Fulham FC +1: 1.98
• Over 2.5: 1.80
• Under 2.5: 2.11
Draw: There’s a 23 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 24 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw, but not much.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.91 – 0.93, in favor of Wolverhampton.
Last 6: Wolves have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall. They’re coming off back-to-back wins vs Watford and Arsenal. Fulham, with a 3-match win streak, have 3 losses and 3 wins in their last 6.
Some Numbers: Fulham are No. 3 in the league this season in offsides calls. While this can often indicate a lack of discipline, it also shows how often a team pushes to score. For Fulham, it’s the former as they are No. 17 in the league in goals scored.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action on Dec. 26, 2018 when they finished in a 1-1 draw.
Aleksander Mitrovic has a 36-to-37 percent chance to score for Fulham. he averages 2.61 shots overall per sim, 0.95, shots on goal per and 0.46 goals per sim.
For Wolverhampton, we’ll have our eyes on Diogo Jota who has a 37.5 percent chance to score. he averages 2.72 shots overall, 1.21 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
Wolverhampton to win.
Not much value on this pick, but the talent disparity is just too much to overlook. Simulation data does project a slightly closer matchup than do offshore picks, but the Wolves should still win. This is a 2-star (out of four) hot trend pick.