We’ve got a fun matchup this Saturday at London Stadium as West Ham and Southampton go head-to-head. AccuScore simulations have a different take on this game than most offshore picks makers.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• West Ham: 2.33
• Draw: 3.70
• Southampton: 3.02

Spread
• West Ham -0.5: 2.02
• Southampton +0.5: 1.91

Total
• Over 3: 2.05
• Under 3: 1.85

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 27 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 27.8 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw – but not much.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.51 – 0.72, in favor of West Ham.

Last 6: West Ham, coming off a 1-0 road win vs Tottenham, have 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in their last 6. Southampton have 2 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws in their last six, recording back-to-back draws their last 2 times out.

Building Momentum: West Ham head into this match with a lot of momentum having put a wrench in Tottenham’s top-4 hopes last week. A second-half goal by Michail Antonio sealed the 1-0 victory as he went down in history as the first opposing goal scorer in Tottenham’s new stadium.

Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action on Dec. 27, 2018 when West Ham won, 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg has a 15 percent chance to score for Southampton. He averages 1.85 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.17 goals per sim.

Marko Arnautovic has a 37-to-38 percent chance to score for West Ham. he averages 2.89 shots overall per sim, 1.56 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

West Ham -0.5

There’s a 49 percent chance West Ham win this match by at least a 1-goal margin. They win 56 percent of AccuScore sims by an average of +0.79 goals. The added side value on West Ham is a 4-star (out of four) hot trend pick.