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AFC Bournemouth and Tottenham go head-to-head this weekend at Vitality Stadium as the Spurs look to bounce back after a 1-0 loss vs West Ham.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Bournemouth: 3.95
• Draw: 3.92
• Tottenham: 1.92
Spread
• Bournemouth +0.5: 1.98
• Tottenham -0.5: 1.95
Total
• Over 3: 2.03
• Under 3: 1.87
Draw: There’s a 25.5 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 23 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.19 – 1.39, in favor of Tottenham.
Last 6: Bournemouth have 1 win, 3 losses and 2 draws in their last 6 overall. Tottenham have 3 wins and 3 losses.
Goals-Against: Callum Wilson had to score a goal late vs Southampton to even it up at 3 goals apiece. Only relegated Fulham and Huddersfield have conceded more league goals than Bournemouth this season.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action on Dec. 26, 2018 when Tottenham won, 5-0. Bournemouth last defeated Tottenham in any competition back on Feb. 16, 1957.
Lucas Moura has a 45 percent chance to score for Tottenham. He averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 0.78 shots on goal per, and 0.61 goals per sim.
Callum Wilson has a 32 percent chance to net the ball for Bournemouth this weekend. Wilson averages 2.12 shots overall per sim, 0.87 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Tottenham -0.5
There’s a 51 percent chance Tottenham win this match by at least a 1-goal margin. They win 55 percent of AccuScore sims by an average of +0.80 goals. Tottenham winning is a 3-star (out of four) hot trend pick.
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