While it might not feature a star player or a fan favorite, this weekend’s matchup between AFC Bournemouth and West Ham at Vitality Stadium has some side value AccuScore data suggests jumping all over.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth: 2.39
• Draw: 3.67
• West Ham United: 2.95
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth -0.5: 2.11
• West Ham United +0.5: 1.83
Total
• Over 3: 2.05
• Under 3: 1.85
Draw: There’s a 27 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 27.6 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no real added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.61 – 1.22, in favor of AFC Bournemouth.
Last 6: Bournemouth has 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in its last six overall. They’re coming off back-to-back losses vs Brighton and Everton, respectively. West Ham has 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six; they’re coming off back-to-back wins over Birmingham and Arsenal.
Referee Selected: Simon Hooper has been named the lead referee in this match. He has given out zero red cards in six games in the top flight.
Head to Head: These two sides last faced off in Premier League action in August 2018 when Bournemouth won 2-1. The previous matchup, in January 2018, resulted in a 1-1 draw.
Marko Arnautovic is projected to have a 35 percent chance to score for West Ham, averaging 2.33 shots overall per sim, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.43 goals per sim.
Joshua King — for Bournemouth — has a close to a 38 percent chance to score. He averages 2.28 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
Bournemouth to win.
There’s a 41.8 percent chance Bournemouth win this match. They, however, win close to 46 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. Bournemouth winning is a 2-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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