Premier League action continues this weekend as Watford gets set to host West Ham at Vicarage Road.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Watford FC: 2.22
• Draw: 3.65
• West Ham United: 3.27

Spread
• Watford -0.5: 2.23
• West Ham United +0.5: 1.74

Total
• Over 2.5: 1.73
• Under 2.5: 2.20

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s about a 27 percent chance this match ends in a draw. That happens in under 25 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.

The projected score is 1.68 – 0.71, in favor of Watford.

Total: There’s a 45 percent chance the total combined score stays under 2.5 goals. That happens in 57.5 percent of simulations, a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. The average total combined score is 2.39 goals.

Summer Moves: Watford had some key additions this summer with the likes of Craig Dawson and Joao Pedro joining the side. Watford had their best finish in club history last year in the Premier League, and will be looking to build off that momentum after a successful offseason.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premeir League action on May 12, 2019 when West Ham won, 4-1.

Projected Leaders

Javier Hernández has a 25-to-26 percent chance to score this weekend. Hernández averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.61 shots on goal per and 0.30 goals per sim.

Gerard Deulofeu has a 34 percent chance to score for Watford. Deulofeu averages 2.31 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Watford to win

Picks indicate there’s a 45 percent chance Watford wins this matchup. They win close to 60 percent of simulations, suggesting some added value on the pick. The added side value here is a two-star (out of four) hot trend pick.