Norwich City vs Chelsea: EPL Game Preview

Norwich City and Chelsea match up this Saturday in Premier League action at Carrow Road. AccuScore sims have some side value in this one.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 3.95
• Draw: 4.00
• Chelsea FC: 1.90

Spread
• Norwich City +0.5, +1: 1.79
• Chelsea FC -0.5, -1: 2.16

Total
• Over 3: 1.99
• Under 3: 1.91

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a about a 25 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in under 24.7 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.

The projected score is 1.86 – 1.71, in favor of Chelsea.

Last 6: Norwich City have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 loss in thier last 6 overall. Norwich is coming off a 3-1 home win vs Newcastle. Chelsea looks for their first win of the season following back-to-back draws vs Liverpool and Leicester City, respetively. They have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last six overall.

Teemu Time: In just two matches this season, Teemu Pukki already has four goals. That’s after scoring 29 goals and notching 9 assists in 43 Championship matches last season. He enters this matchup following a hat-trick last week vs Newcastle.

Head to Head: Chelsea and Norwich City last matched up in Janary of 2018 in the FA Cup. Chelsea won in penalties after a 1-1 finish in regulation. They last matched up in the Premier League back in March of 2016 when Chelsea won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

Mason Mount has a 36-to-37 percent chance to net the ball for Chelsea. Mount averages 3.13 shots overall per sim, 1.29 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.

Teemu Pukki, who’s off to a remarkable start to the season, has a 57+ percent chance to score for Norwich City. Pukki averages 2.72 shots overall per sim, 1.22 shots on goal per and 0.83 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Norwich City +1

There’s a 56 percent chance Norwich City loses by 1 goal, finishes in a draw, or win. They finish in a draw in 25 percent of simulations, lose 41 percent of simulations by a march of 0.17 goals and win 34 percent of sims. AccuScore is projecting Norwich City to be quite a bit more competitive than do offshore picks; the side value on Norwich makes this a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.