The player to watch in this game is Callum Wilson, who has six goals and zero assists in 15 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Wilson a 58.28 percent chance to score against Watford. He has 14 SCA and 0 GCA in 15 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United: 2.07
• Watford: 3.40
• Draw: 3.70
Spread
• Newcastle United: -0.5: 2.08
• Watford: +0.5: 1.85
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 2.00
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.90
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Newcastle United, coming off a 1-1 home draw against Manchester United on December 27, have 3 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games. Watford, coming off 1-0 home loss against Tottenham Hotspur on January 1, have 6 losses in their last 6 Premier League games.
Momentum: Watford has been on a downward trend — with 6 losses in their last 6 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 25, 2021 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Newcastle United, Callum Wilson has a 58.28 percent chance to score. He averages 2.42 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per and 0.85 goals per sim.
For Watford, Emmanuel Davis has a 33.38 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.96 shots overall per sim, 0.68 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Newcastle United Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Newcastle United in this one. Average score in simulations is Newcastle United 2.42 to Watford 0.89.
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