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Southampton host Tottenham this weekend in what should be a fairly simple match to predict. Quite a bit of talent on one side, and not-so-much on the other.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton FC: 4.15
• Draw: 3.78
• Tottenham Hotspur: 1.91
Spread
• Southampton FC +0.5: 12.01
• Tottenham Hotspur -0.5: 1.92
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.85
• Under 2.5: 2.05
Draw: There’s a 26.5 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 26 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.68 – 0.86, in favor of Tottenham.
Consistency: Tottenham is No. 6 in the Premier League in shots taken, and No. 5 in the league in goals scored.
Last 6: Southampton are coming off a 3-2 loss to Man United from last Saturday. They have 2 draws, 3 losses and 1 win in their last 6 overall. Tottenham enter this weekend’s match after a 1-0 win over Dortmund in the Champions League on Tuesday. They have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back on Dec. 5, 2018 when Tottenham won, 3-1.
Harry Kane has a 54 percent chance to score for Tottenham this weekend. He averages 4.4 shots overall per sim, 2.03 shots on goal per and 0.80 goals per sim.
Charlie Austin has a 21 percent chance to score for Southampton. Austin averages 2.41 shots overall per sim, 0.95 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Tottenham -0.5
This is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. There’s a 52 percent chance Tottenham wins this match by a 1-goal or more margin. That happens in over 55 percent of AccuScore sims, with Tottenham’s average margin of victory being +0.82 goals.
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