Manchester City clashes with Newcastle United in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Manchester City is coming off a 4-0 road win against Leeds United on April 30 while Newcastle United lost 1-0 at home against Liverpool on April 30. Manchester City leads the Premier League with 83 points in 34 games while Newcastle United is in 10th place in the Premier League standings with 43 points in 35 games.

The player to watch in this game is Kevin De Bruyne, who has 11 goals and six assists in 26 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives De Bruyne a 37.3 percent chance to score against Newcastle United. He has 110 SCA and 10 GCA in 26 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.21
• Newcastle United: 13.00
• Draw: 6.80

Spread
• Manchester City: -2 (1.94)
• Newcastle United: +2 (1.87)

Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.93)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.88)

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 4-0 road win against Leeds United on April 30, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.

Newcastle United, coming off a 1-0 home loss against Liverpool on April 30, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Manchester City has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 4 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 19, 2021 and Manchester City won 4-0.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester City, Kevin De Bruyne has a 37.3 percent chance to score. He averages 1.79 shots overall per sim, 1.05 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.

For Newcastle United, Bruno Guimarães has an 11.6 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.46 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per and 0.12 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Under

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.18 to Newcastle United 0.66.

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