Manchester City hosts Southampton in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 6-3 home win against Manchester United on Sunday while Southampton lost 2-1 at home against Everton last Saturday.

Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 20 points in eight games while Southampton is in eighth place with seven points in eight games.

The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 14 goals and three assists in eight Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 76.98 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 15 SCA and 5 GCA in eight Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.14
• Southampton: 17.00
• Draw: 8.80

Spread
• Manchester City -2.5 (2.07)
• Southampton +2.5 (1.86)

Total
• Over 3.5, 4 (2.00)
• Under 3.5, 4 (1.90)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on January 22 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 76.98 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.41 shots overall per sim, 2.08 shots on goal per and 1.44 goals per sim.

For Southampton, Che Adams has a 20.42 percent chance to score. He averages 1.03 shots overall per sim, 0.5 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Over.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 3.43 to Southampton 0.9.

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