Brentford faces a very tough test when they visit Manchester City on Wednesday. Brentford has lost four straight Premier League games and they’re coming off a 2-1 home setback against Wolverhampton Wanderers on January 22 while Manchester City played to a 1-1 road draw against Southampton on January 22. Brentford is in 14th place in the Premier League standings with 23 points in 23 games while Manchester City is in first place with 57 points in 23 games.
The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has seven goals and one assist in 19 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 29.34 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 50 SCA and 2 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.13
• Brentford: 19.00
• Draw: 9.00
Spread
• Manchester City: -2.5: 2.00
• Brentford: +2.5: 1.82
Total
• Over 3.5: 1.89
• Under 3.5: 1.92
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 1-1 road draw against Southampton on January 22, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games. Brentford, coming off a 2-1 home loss against Wolverhampton Wanderers on January 22, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Brentford has been on a downward trend — with 4 straight losses in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 29, 2021 and Manchester City won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 29.34 percent chance to score. He averages 1.23 shots overall per sim, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
For Brentford, Ivan Toney has a 17.38 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.64 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.33 to Brentford 0.59.
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