Chelsea hosts Manchester City on Saturday in what promises to be the game of the week in the Premier League. Chelsea is coming off a 3-0 road win against Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday while Manchester City played to a 0-0 home draw against Southampton on Saturday. Chelsea leads the Premier League with 13 points in five games while Manchester City is in fifth place with 10 points in five games.

The player to watch in this game is Romelu Lukaku. Chelsea’s Belgian striker has played three games this season and he has three goals. Look for Lukaku to find more rhythm as the campaign progresses and this home game can help him. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 2.75
• Manchester City: 2.70
• Draw: 3.20

Spread
• Chelsea: 0: 1.93
• Manchester City: 0: 2.00

Total
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.85
• Under 2, 2.5: 2.05

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Chelsea, coming off a 3-0 road win against Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last five Premier League games. Manchester City, coming off a 0-0 home draw against Southampton, have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Chelsea has been on an upward trend — with 4 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 8 and Chelsea won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Chelsea, Romelu Lukaku has a 40.14 percent chance to score. He averages 1.34 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.

For Manchester City, Ilkay Gündogan has a 25.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.81 shots overall per sim, 0.42 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City Moneyline.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 1.28 to Chelsea 1.14.

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