SpVgg Greuther Furth looks to get back on track when they host Bayern Munich in a very tough test on Friday. SpVgg Greuther Furth is coming off a 2-1 road loss against Hertha Berlin last Friday while Bayern Munich crushed VfL Bochum 7-0 at home on Saturday. These two teams are heading in opposite directions, SpVgg Greuther Furth is in last place in the Bundesliga standings with just one point in five games while Bayern Munich is in first place with 13 points in five games.

The player to watch in this game is Robert Lewandowski, who has been unstoppable this season, scoring seven goals in five games. SpVgg Greuther Furth has porous defense that has already conceded 13 goals in just five games in the Bundesliga and it’s hard to seem them end Lewandowski’s impressive run. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• SpVgg Greuther Furth: 24.00
• Bayern Munich: 1.10
• Draw: 12.00

Spread
• SpVgg Greuther Furth: +2.5, +3 (2.03)
• Bayern Munich: -2.5, -3 (1.90)

Total
• Over 4, 4.5 (1.95)
• Under 4, 4.5 (1.95)

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: SpVgg Greuther Furth, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Hertha Berlin last Friday, have 4 losses, 1 draw and 0 wins in their last 5 Bundesliga games. Bayern Munich, coming off 7-0 home win against VfL Bochum on Saturday, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 5 Bundesliga games.

Momentum: Bayern Munich has been on an upward trend — winning 4 of their last 5 games in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on January 19, 2013 and Bayern Munich won 2-0.

Projected Leaders

For SpVgg Greuther Furth, Cedric Itten has a 12 percent chance to score. He averages 0.77 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.

For Bayern Munich, Robert Lewandowski has an 88.96 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 5.15 shots overall per sim, 0.44 shots on goal per and 0.13 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Bayern Munich -2.5, -3.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Bayern Munich in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayern Munich 4.16 to SpVgg Greuther Furth 0.33.

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