Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 23 points in nine games while Liverpool is in 10th place with 10 points in eight games.
The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 15 goals and three assists in nine Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 57.72 percent chance to score against Liverpool. He has 17 SCA and 5 GCA in nine Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Liverpool: 3.70
• Manchester City: 1.88
• Draw: 4.10
Spread
• Liverpool +0.5 (1.94)
• Manchester City -0.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.95)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.86)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 10 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Liverpool, Darwin Núñez has a 44.84 percent chance to score. He averages 1.62 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.59 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 57.72 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.23 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.87 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2 to Liverpool 1.91.
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