Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 24 points in nine games while Leeds United is in 14th place with nine points in eight games.
The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Jesus, who has five goals and three assists in nine Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Gabriel Jesus a 44.46 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 33 SCA and 3 GCA in nine Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Leeds United: 5.40
• Arsenal: 1.57
• Draw: 4.30
Spread
• Leeds United +1 (1.90)
• Arsenal -1 (1.91)
Total
• Over 3 (2.00)
• Under 3 (1.82)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 8 and Arsenal won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Leeds United, Rodrigo Moreno has a 31.76 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.32 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Gabriel Jesus has a 44.46 percent chance to score. He averages 2.32 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.58 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.37 to Leeds United 1.03.
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