Southampton hit the road this weekend for a matchup with Leicester City at King Power Stadium.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
Leicester City: 1.60
Draw: 4.35
Southampton: 5.72

Spread
Leicester City -1: 2.00
Southampton +1: 1.93

Total
Over 2.5: 1.63
Under 2.5: 2.36

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Leicester, coming off a 2-0 home win vs Wigan in the FA Cup, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. Southampton, coming off a 2-0 home win over Huddersfield in the FA Cup, have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last six overall.

Some Numbers: Leicester City currently sit No. 3 in the EPL with a goal differential of +27. They have 14 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses on the season so far.

Better Defense: Southampton’s Alex McCarthy is currently No. 25 amongst active Premier League goalies in terms of goals surrendered per 90 minutes. He gives up 1.41 goals per 90 mins for his career.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on Oct. 25, 2019 when Leicester City won, 9-0.

Projected Leaders

For Southampton, Danny Ings has a 33 percent chance to score. He averages 2.16 shots overall per sim, 0.91 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.

For Leicester, Ayoze Perez Gutierrez has a 33-to-34 percent chance to score. He averages 1.64 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Southampton +1.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Average score in sims is 1.84 – 1.05, in favor of Leicester.

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