Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Crystal Palace: 7.04
• Draw: 5.07
• Liverpool: 1.45
• Crystal Palace +1: 2.29
• Liverpool -1: 1.70
• OVER 3: 1.93
• UNDER 3: 1.97
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 5.07 — indicate there’s a 20 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 18 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.61 – 1.01, in favor of Liverpool.
All In: There was plenty of public money on Liverpool to win the league prior to the season starting. They proved their supporters right with a 4-0 thrashing of West Ham in the opening week, with three players scoring. Mohamed Salah got things going early Sadio Mane added two before Daniel Sturridge chipped in with a goal off the bench.
Dominating the Opponent: Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has five goals in seven Premier League appearances vs Crystal Palace, his most against any one club. On the other side, Crystal Palace’s Christian Benteke has six goals in nine games vs former club Liverpool, his most against any opponent.
Mané has a 33 percent chance to score, averaging 2.69 shots overall, 0.96 shots on goal per, and 0.40 goals per sim.
Benteke has an 11 percent chance to score according to AccuScore sims. He averages 1.8 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.12 goals per sim.
Selhurst Park: Liverpool have won their last four games on the road vs Crystal Palace.
Premier League Monday: These two sides last met in league action on a Monday in May 2014. Liverpool raced out to a 3-0 lead before Crystal Palace made a comeback in the last 12 minutes to get the 3-3 result.
Mohamed Salah has a 64 percent chance to score, averaging 4.65 shots overall per sim, 1.99 shots on goal per, and 1.03 goals per sim.
Wilfried Zaha has a 21 percent chance to score for Crystal Palace. He averages 2.14 shots overall, 0.87 shots on goal per, and 0.24 goals per sim.
Odds — at 1.70 — indicate there’s a 59 percent chance Liverpool wins this match. That happens in over 70 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some side value on the pick.