Crystal Palace and West Ham go head-to-head this weekend at Selhurst Park. Palace is coming off a 2-0 win over Fulham while West Ham enters the match following a 1-1 tie with Liverpool.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Crystal Palace: 2.07
• Draw: 3.51
• West Ham: 3.82
Spread
• Crystal Palace -0.5: 2.19
• West Ham +0.5: 1.88
Total
• Over 2, 2.5: 1.78
• Under 2, 2.5: 2.13
Draw: There’s a 28.5 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 28.6 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no real added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.33 – 1.32, in favor of Crystal Palace.
Last 6: Crystal Palace have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. West Ham have 1 draw, 3 losses and 2 wins.
Referee Announced: Craig Pawson has been designated lead official for this match. He actually refereed two games in December 2018 involving these sides. He was a part of Crystal Palace’s 1-0 loss vs Chelsea on Dec. 30, 2018, as well as the 2-1 win West Ham had over Southampton on Dec. 27, 2018.
Head to Head: West Ham recorded a 3-2 win over Crystal palace back in Dec. 2018 in Premier League action. The last time West Ham lost to Crystal Palace in league play was back in Feb. 2015.
Felipe Anderson has a 31-to-32 percent chance to score for West Ham. He averages 1.6 shots overall, 0.81 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Luka Milivojevic has a 25-to-26 percent chance to score for Crystal Palace. he averages 1.86 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.29 goals per sim.
West Ham +0.5
AccuScore sim data project this matchup to be closer than offshore picks indicate. Picks indicate there’s a 26 percent chance West Ham win this match; they win close to 36 percent of AccuScore sims, indicating some side value on the underdog. The side value makes it a 3-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
Leave a comment
Link Dafabet